Why Sharps Are Betting Against Argentina's 2026 Win

Argentina's got Messi, but sharp bettors see holes in their 2026 World Cup armor.

Mirrored Research·Smart money·June 17, 2026·1 min read

Betting Against the Champs

Argentina might be the reigning World Cup champions, but sharp money is swinging the other way for 2026. Sure, Messi's still pulling strings, but even legends face Father Time. The magic of his left foot might not be enough to weave through the gauntlet of a longer tournament with even more teams.

Depth Perception

It's not just about one player, though. Argentina's squad depth is getting a hard look. The supporting cast is talented, but some key pieces are aging, and the bench doesn't scream "game-changer." Plus, other teams are catching up fast, with fresh talent and tactical tweaks designed to exploit any frailty.

The Group of Peril

And let's not ignore the group draw. Argentina's path isn't a stroll in the park, with potential landmines waiting to upset their rhythm. The odds below reflect the sharp's cautious approach, seeing more value in betting "No" on Argentina's chances. Remember, the sharps aren't about heart—they're about the numbers.

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Research and commentary only. Not financial, investment, or betting advice. Prediction markets are speculative and you can lose money. Positions shown are those of independent third-party traders.