Is ex-RUBY's slight favoritism over Infinite justified?
An analysis of ex-RUBY vs. Infinite in the CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs, assessing if ex-RUBY's modest favorite status aligns with recent performance data.
The market positions ex-RUBY as a modest favorite with an implied probability of approximately 60% against Infinite in the CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs. This pricing likely reflects ex-RUBY's higher world ranking and recent performance metrics. However, Infinite's recent form and map-specific strengths suggest potential for an upset, warranting a closer examination of the data.
Why the market is priced here
The approximate 60% implied probability favoring ex-RUBY is likely based on their superior world ranking and consistent performance in recent tournaments. ex-RUBY's higher ranking and recent match outcomes contribute to this perception. However, Infinite's recent form and map-specific strengths introduce variables that could challenge this pricing. The market may not fully account for these factors, suggesting the potential for a closer contest than the odds imply.
The case for ex-RUBY
- Higher World Ranking: ex-RUBY holds a world ranking of #65, indicating a higher competitive standing compared to Infinite.
- Consistent Performance: Over the last 30 days, ex-RUBY has achieved a 69% win rate, demonstrating strong recent form.
- Map Proficiency: ex-RUBY boasts a 66% win rate on Dust2 across 69 maps, suggesting a strategic advantage on this map.
- Experienced Roster: The team has maintained a stable lineup, with key players like YumsaN and sh1nejezzz contributing to their consistent performance.
The case for Infinite
- Recent Upswing: Infinite has shown improvement, with a 58% win rate over the last six months, up from 37% earlier in the season.
- Map Strength on Ancient: Infinite has a 68% win rate on Ancient over 19 maps, indicating a potential advantage if this map is played.
- Potential for Upsets: Despite being the underdog, Infinite's recent form suggests they could capitalize on any inconsistencies from ex-RUBY.
By the numbers
| Metric | ex-RUBY | Infinite |
|---|---|---|
| World Ranking | #65 | Unranked |
| Win Rate (Last 30 Days) | 69% | 58% |
| Dust2 Win Rate | 66% | — |
| Ancient Win Rate | — | 68% |
| Recent Match Record | 7-3 | 3-2 |