Best Polymarket trading strategies

01 - Information speed

Prediction markets are information markets. The trader who reacts fastest to new information captures the most profit, before everyone else moves the price.

Top information-speed traders monitor:

• Breaking news - political announcements, economic releases, court rulings
• Social media - Twitter/X often breaks stories before traditional outlets
• Official sources - government sites, sports scoring feeds, regulatory filings

Example. A Supreme Court decision drops at 10:00 AM. A market priced at$0.50 moves to $0.95 within minutes. Traders who read the ruling the second it's published get filled in the $0.50–0.65 range. Anyone who waited even two minutes paid $0.80+.

This is hard to do alone. Easier route: copy a trader who's already wired in. See how to copy trade on Polymarket.

02 - Whale tracking

Large traders (whales) move markets. By tracking wallets that consistently place well-timed, high-conviction bets, you can follow the signal instead of trying to generate it yourself.

What whale activity reveals:

• New information. A whale buying $50k of YES often knows something the market hasn't priced in yet.
• Conviction. Position size signals confidence. A 5× scaled position is a stronger signal than a 1× one.
• Exit signals. When whales sell, it can mean they think the price has peaked or new information has changed the outlook.

Mirrored's Sharps is our curated roster of the most consistent wallets, refreshed daily, and Mirrored can copy their entries automatically. Auto Pilot bundles them so you don't have to maintain the list yourself.

03 - Event timing

Prices become most volatile near event resolution. Smart traders position themselves before key dates rather than chasing afterward.

• Election night - prices swing wildly as results come in state by state
• Fed meetings - interest-rate decisions cause immediate repricing
• Sports finals - game-outcome markets see massive volume
• Earnings reports - corporate results move related markets

Strategy. Buy in the days before a major event when prices are still stable, then let volatility compress the price toward 0 or 1 during the event. This works even without predicting the outcome — pick the right side before the volatility kicks in, and the move comes to you.

04 - Portfolio diversification

Instead of concentrating on a single market, the best traders spread across multiple uncorrelated markets. Even strong traders are wrong 30–40% of the time, and concentration amplifies the bad calls.

An example diversified allocation:

On Mirrored, the easiest way to diversify is to mirror 2–3 traders who specialize in different categories - and use the per-market limit setting so a single market can't eat too much of your capital.

05 - Copy trading

Copy trading bundles strategies 01 and 02 into a single workflow: you ride a profitable trader's information speed and conviction, automatically. Instead of monitoring news feeds yourself, you mirror wallets that already do.

How it works on Mirrored:

• Pick traders manually from Sharps, or use an Auto Pilot lineup we curate.
• Set sizing rules once - fixed dollar size, percentage of leader, or portfolio multiplier - plus per-trade and per-market caps.
• Mirrored copies every entry from your traders into your own wallet, with sub-200ms execution.

Full walkthrough: how to copy trade on Polymarket.

Combining strategies

The most effective traders rarely run a single strategy in isolation. A practical combination:

• Copy trading as the base layer - mirrors whales and information speed.
• Event-timing entries on your own around major scheduled events.
• Diversification as the safety net - multiple traders, multiple categories, capped per-market exposure.

Mirrored's rule engine is built to support this - sizing modes, market caps, price bands, and slippage tolerance all stack so you can run several strategies without babysitting it.